Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.206303 0.238928 0.275027 0.317934 0.367554 0.423147 0.490187
2025-08-10 0.151095 0.193705 0.245791 0.314162 0.401609 0.509808 0.654047
2025-08-17 0.118805 0.163396 0.221790 0.303894 0.416490 0.565717 0.778967
2025-08-24 0.102663 0.149528 0.214446 0.310991 0.451151 0.647632 0.944824
2025-08-31 0.089026 0.136264 0.204957 0.312207 0.475777 0.716495 1.098984
2025-09-07 0.079174 0.126681 0.198834 0.316491 0.504027 0.792275 1.270931
2025-09-14 0.068853 0.114715 0.187186 0.310141 0.514173 0.840465 1.404551
2025-09-21 0.061130 0.105737 0.178856 0.307556 0.529235 0.897016 1.557002
2025-09-28 0.055643 0.099680 0.174386 0.310483 0.553231 0.970064 1.744688
2025-10-05 0.052986 0.098116 0.177198 0.326027 0.600385 1.087062 2.021869
2025-10-12 0.049837 0.095227 0.177248 0.336438 0.639225 1.193144 2.291002
2025-10-19 0.046871 0.092279 0.176770 0.345650 0.676593 1.300083 2.573361
2025-10-26 0.043248 0.087730 0.172953 0.348372 0.702528 1.389635 2.835422
2025-11-02 0.039212 0.081888 0.166010 0.344185 0.714493 1.453766 3.055280
2025-11-09 0.034927 0.075005 0.156192 0.332934 0.710640 1.485666 3.212262
2025-11-16 0.033001 0.072809 0.155607 0.340712 0.747100 1.603435 3.563565
2025-11-23 0.030674 0.069461 0.152220 0.342044 0.769782 1.694519 3.867333
2025-11-30 0.028861 0.067025 0.150488 0.346738 0.800240 1.805322 4.227514
2025-12-07 0.026313 0.062618 0.143931 0.339780 0.803531 1.856328 4.456542
2025-12-14 0.024324 0.059276 0.139398 0.336948 0.815963 1.929155 4.745016
2025-12-21 0.022930 0.057188 0.137519 0.340155 0.843016 2.038599 5.134214
2025-12-28 0.022517 0.057446 0.141184 0.357188 0.905514 2.238651 5.770153
2026-01-04 0.021767 0.056771 0.142524 0.368597 0.955312 2.413196 6.362130